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Qatar Business Optimism Index

Recognized as one of the world's most respected financial data and business information providers, Dun & Bradstreet is partnering with QFC Authority to assist in analyzing the unique pulse of the Qatar business community through the Qatar Business Optimism Index. It is a reliable index which will measure the outlook on investment, sales and profit growth, employment growth and other major indicators of Qatar's business environment on macro and micro levels. The QBOI is a valuable tool in gauging the future course of business sentiment and formulating business strategy.
 
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Dun & Bradstreet Business Optimism Index - Qatar Q3 2008

Dun & Bradstreet Presentation

QBOI Questionnaire

QBOI Methodology

Survey:

1- Universe Selection: drawn from D&B’s commercial database

2- Sample Size: Given the relatively small size of the economy a sample of 250 or more companies with consistent response will give reliable estimates. Assuming a response rate of 25% we start the survey with 1000 companies. However if the response rate falls below 25%, we draw larger sample from D&B’s database

3- 2 set of questions in the survey. The first part has standard questions regarding expectation (expect an increase, decrease or no change) based on 6 parameters : net sales, net profits, selling price, new orders, inventories, no. of employees

4- the second part of the survey questionnaire has been designed by analysts to reflect best the outlook of the industry players for the next quarter e.g. What is the company most likely to invest in the next quarter, or which issue do you think will influence the operations of your business most in the quarter ahead.

5- Survey responses are validated for consistency by follow up calls

Analysis:

6- Sector wise break up: Companies maybe classified as belonging to the following sectors:

- Oil and gas sector (62%)

- Non hydrocarbon sector

--Basic goods: Manufacturing, agriculture and fishing (9%)

--Building and construction (6 %)

--Finance, insurance, real estate & business services: (8%)

--Other services: trade, restaurants & hotels, transport and communication, electricity and water (10%)

Therefore, companies that fall under the Manufacturing, is classified as belonging to the Non oil basic goods Sector. Similarly, companies that fall under the Trade, Restaurants & Hotels; Transport & Communications are classified as belonging to the other Services Sector.

The number of respondents from each of these broad sectors is to be based on the relative importance of these sectors to overall National Income.

7- Individual index for each sector calculated by subtracting the percentage of valid responses  expecting decreases from those expecting increase

8- Analysis of major trends, outlook and issues concerning the business community

9- With a run up of 4-6 quarters, a composite index combining the sentiments in different sectors can be evolved to track changes in business expectation overtime.

Related Press Releases:

- Outlook positive for Qatari business, says nation’s first Business Optimism Index

- Dun and Bradstreet Teams Up With al khaliji And QFC To Develop Qatar's First Business Optimism Index